Stater Bros. 300 Picks

[Maxx40]

A new week and a chance to start over.

Last week proved handicapping Nascar is not an exact science, had the Cup race nailed but the X-FACTOR (LUCK!) came into play.


Last Week Totals:

Picks to win (0-4) -2.00 units
Match-ups (3-3) -0.50 unit (2-0) +2.00 units in Busch

This Week's Busch Picks:

To Win:

0.50 unit Matt Kenseth (4-1 @bodog)
Roush teams seem to dominate this track and Kenseth looks to be very strong. Fastest in Happy Hour and qualified 2nd. 4 Top 10's in last 5 starts here with worst finish of 12th.

0.25 unit on Casey Mears(16-1 @ sportbook.com)
Worth taking a shot here with Mears in a Hendrick entry. He ran very well in Busch last year with Ganassi, with this team he has even better stuff to play with.

0.25 unit on Dave Blaney(22-1 @ sportbook.com)
Last two races with this team he has a first and a second and he's on the pole tonight so, why not? Very good price.

Match-ups

4 units Jon Wood (-105) over J.J Yeley- Yeley not in the Gibbs ride in Busch and has struggled in this car so far this weeked. Wood has good history here and had an ok qualifying run starting 18th.

3 units Carl Edwards(+110) over Greg Biffle-This price went way down due to Edwards problem in qualifying. Got to give it a shot. I know Biffle is very strong here with 3 wins in the last 6 races but at the same time Edwards has 3 top 6 finishes in the last 4. Starting at the back concerns me but I'll take my chances.

 

[Maxx40]

should have read:Last week (2-0) in Busch match-ups for +5.00 units

 

[Maxx40]

There we go again. Yeley gets his lap back on the caution with about 10 laps to go. Before that caution Wood is 21st-Yeley 34th. They finish(Wood) 31st-(Yeley )23rd.

Sooner or later, Lady Luck will get off my back and into my lap .

With the Kenseth win at least I showed a little profit tonight.

Tonight's Total:

To win:
0.50 unit Kenseth (4-1) WINNER +2.00 units
0.25 unit Mears (16-1) loser -0.25 unit
0.25 unit Blaney (22-1) loser -0.25 unit
-----------------------------------+1.50 units

Match-ups:
4.00 units Wood (-105)over Yeley(loser) -4.20 units
3.00 units Edwards(+110)over Bif (WINNER)+3.30 units
-------------------------------------------- -0.90 unit

TOTAL: +0.60 unit for the night

 

[MistaFlava]

keep em coming buddy...

 

[BASEHEAD]

Nice Job.Ill usually bet really light on Busch.

Had .5 U on MattK too.No opportunity to post but hes is clearly the guy to beat there.Had Edwards as well.Rouch has dominated in NBS at Fontana.

Liking Gordo today alot.

 

[Maxx40]

Congrats to you as well, BASEHEAD. They say great minds think alike, hopefully you have a little more sanity left in yours than mine:lolBIG: .

Good Luck on Sunday.